Politics
How Atiku will defeat Tinubu, Obi – Dele Momodu
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Dele Momodu, the Peoples Democratic Party Presidential Campaign Council’s director of strategic communications, has predicted Atiku Abubakar will win the election for president of Nigeria in less than a week for the second time.
In a statement released on Monday, Momodu rejected surveys by polling organizations that had in recent months forecast victories for either Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress or Peter Obi of the Labour Party.
He declared, “I have read several polls on the upcoming presidential election on February 25, 2023, with bemusement, and I have come to the conclusion that the elitist polls have failed monumentally owing to the over-reliance on technology in a society that is primarily illiterate.
“I have made the decision to help put the forecasts into context using factual facts and the known political history of Nigeria.
“To win this election, a presidential candidate cannot just rely on support from outside his home base. History demonstrates that whenever the South had two competent contenders, the man from the north typically prevailed, as was the case in the 1979 and 1983 contest between Obafemi Awolowo and Nnamdi Azikiwe and Shehu Shagari.
“In the South-West, Tinubu is significantly less powerful than Awolowo, who was by far more powerful; in the South-East, Obi is the new Azikiwe (the first Governor General and President of Nigeria); and in the North, Kwankwaso is the present Aminu Kano.
The North East, North West, North Central, and South South will be dominated by Atiku. In the North and South-West, Tinubu might choose a few states, but he won’t have enough support to win. Atiku spent 30 years building the bridges needed to cross the finish line in victory. Without even mentioning the rest of Nigeria, Tinubu has not been able to secure the entire South-West. The use of voter bribery excessively will fail.
He claimed, “Hoping to rig openly will also fail miserably,” that relying on rigging will fail horribly. I’ll say it again: Atiku will be elected as the next president by the whole North and South-South. In the South-East and South-West, Atiku will continue to be a strong contender.
“Wherever Obi is number one in the East, Atiku will be number two. Wherever Tinubu is number one in the South-West, Atiku will be number two or vice versa. Atiku will be the first to cross the line of recording 25 per cent in 24 states. He will get 25 per cent automatically in the 19 states of northern regions and will pick six in the South-South automatically.
“He will pick up 25 per cent in all of the five states in the South-East, a traditional base of the PDP, and the same in the South-West. Wherever Obi is number one, Atiku will be number two or vice versa.
“I do not know if in any state, the PDP will not record 25 per cent and eventually win the overall popular votes. Nigeria has become so divided that the people are going to vote majorly along ethnic lines as well as primordial sentiments.
“The North will not vote for a “fake Muslim” in the name of a pretentious and mischievous Muslim/Muslim ticket. The scam is dead on arrival,” he declared.
Momodu defended this stance by saying, “The North East will never vote for a number two position when they have been vying for the number one position since 1966. The North West won’t support Tinubu, who has had an iron grip on Lagos State since 1999, over Atiku.
“The South-West itself knows it has the most divisive and visibly weakest candidate in this election this time and would humbly and simply accept its fate with serenity,” said the contender.
“The South-East will also realize that Obi’s incredible popularity will not be enough to take him to victory, and many of their traditional voters will be content to support Atiku and Ifeanyi Okowa, the intellectual and gentle giant of Igbo lineage.
“I think former candidate Atiku will be the next president. He is the most well-prepared and experienced contender in the contest, and he is prepared to start working immediately. In the coming days, Nigerians will see genuine politics in action, he continued.
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